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When one hurts or kills a women
one hurts or kills hummanity and is an antrocitie.
Gino d'Artali
and: My mother (1931-1997) always said to me <Mi
figlio, non esistono notizie <vecchie> perche puoi imparare qualcosa da
qualsiasi notizia.> Translated: <My son, there is no such thing as so
called 'old' news because you can learn something from any news.>
Gianna d'Artali.
Al Jazeera - Feb 3 2025 - By Justin Salhani
<<Analysis: Jordan faces ‘geopolitical blackmail’ after Trump Gaza
demand
Analysts say the new US administration of Donald Trump could lead to
major disruptions in the Kingdom of Jordan.
US President Donald Trump has doubled down on comments about displacing
Palestinians in Gaza to Jordan and Egypt, escalating tensions with the
Hashemite Kingdom and possibly leaving King Abdullah II “vulnerable to
geopolitical blackmail”, experts warned. On January 25, Trump suggested
that Jordan and Egypt should take in the two million or so Palestinians
in Gaza, which sparked fears that the United States is angling for the
ethnic cleansing of Gaza. Jordan and Egypt’s leaders both rejected the
proposal. But Trump repeated his idea on Thursday during a photo op in
the Oval Office, hinting at the leverage he feels he has. “They will do
it. They will do it… We do a lot for them, and they’re gonna do it,”
Trump told a journalist.
A Trump power play
“This … does set up a major confrontation,” said Sean Yom, an associate
professor of political science at Temple University. “King Abdullah II
has repeatedly said the ‘alternative homeland’ scenario and further
Palestinian displacement is a red line … but Jordan is also directly
dependent upon US aid and security assistance – the kingdom is
vulnerable to geopolitical blackmail,” Yom, who has written extensively
on the Middle East and North Africa, told Al Jazeera. Analysts agree
that Trump could try and coerce Jordan into accepting Palestinians,
using this reliance on US aid. In 1994, Israel and Jordan signed the
Wadi Araba Treaty, which established diplomatic, tourism and trade
relations between the two countries and set the ground for Jordan to
receive billions of dollars in US aid as debt relief. The US now gives
Jordan $1.45bn a year in bilateral foreign assistance, making it one of
the top recipients of foreign aid, after Israel and Egypt. On January
20, Trump signed an executive order directing all federal government
agencies to enact a 90-day pause on almost all foreign development
assistance, during which time existing programmes would also have
disbursements paused as they are reviewed. A week later, a waiver was
approved by US Secretary of State Marco Rubio to continue “life-saving
humanitarian assistance” during the 90-day review period. The move sowed
chaos among US-funded programmes and bodies worldwide, further
compounded when Trump’s administration sent mixed signals over whether
or not the order would go into effect, and how. Dima Toukan, a
non-resident scholar at the Middle East Institute, said a suspension of
aid would “affect various types of foreign assistance to the country,
including budget support, sector budget support, development projects
and humanitarian assistance in addition to military aid”. For Yom, the
freeze could be seen “as a power play by the new administration”. Trump
is signalling that “any post-Gaza regional order must abide by American
rules … and that old allies like Jordan don’t have much say in the
matter”, he said. Analysts believe that if Trump leverages aid, Jordan
could be forced to rethink its alliances and look to Arab Gulf states,
Russia, China, or the European Union to fill funding gaps. It could also
“[force] them to … implement deeply unpopular austerity measures that
predictably lead to protests”, said Geoffrey Hughes, author of the book
Kinship, Islam and the Politics of Marriage in Jordan: Affection and
Mercy. “It will also directly hit the security apparatus, and all the
harder since so much aid is routed through the military and police now,”
Hughes added.
Galvanised protests and discontent
The move could also exacerbate internal tensions in Jordan. More than a
year of protests from citizens angered by Israel’s war on Gaza, which
killed nearly 62,000 Palestinians, has put a spotlight on Jordan’s
reliance on the US and Israel. Much of Jordan’s population, which
includes many Palestinians with Jordanian nationality and more than two
million Palestinian refugees, was frustrated with the government’s
unwillingness to cut ties. Large protests broke out over Israel’s
actions in Gaza and the West Bank in 2023 and were sustained for long
stretches of 2024. The Jordanian government responded by cracking down
on and arresting hundreds of protesters and political opponents. In
April 2024, when the demonstrations were near their peak, Jordan’s
police said they were arresting rioters and vandals while allowing
citizens to express themselves. This left the Jordanian government in an
increasingly difficult situation, with little room to manoeuvre
internationally or domestically. In last September’s parliamentary
elections, the Muslim Brotherhood-affiliated Islamic Action Front (IAF)
made significant gains, going from seven to 31 parliament seats out of a
total of 138. Some analysts took IAF’s gains to be an expression of
discontent with the monarchy. Jordan’s importance to US regional
interests should mean foreign aid will be restored to the country
quicker than in other places, interviewees told Al Jazeera. “What might
help Jordan is the old-school, and bipartisan, consensus wing in
Washington that sees the Hashemites as indispensable to US foreign
policy in the region, remembers the help that Jordan has given for
decades to various US wars and interventions, and regards this ‘oasis of
moderation’ as not worth destabilising in the long run,” Yom said.
“Trump will need to walk back this completely unrealistic proposition,”
Toukan said. “If this was to become official American policy, it would
undermine not only Jordan’s stability but that of the entire region,
including Egypt’s.”>>
SOURCE: AL JAZEERA:
https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2025/2/3/analysis-jordan-faces-geopolitical-blackmail-after-trump-gaza-demand
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Gino d'Artali |
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